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Red138
999516.5
147753.8
680039.4
Blue128
541448.2
887927.9
582935.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111117050150200250138128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.82.5
50.853.3
Auto13.4
Teleop33.9
End6.1
red by 5.6
5414
#21
48.21.4
45.947.3
Auto11.7
Teleop28.4
End8.1
Second
6800
#22
39.42.5
36.438.9
Auto8.4
Teleop23.4
End7.9
red by 3.5
35.91.4
34.135.5
Auto11.6
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Third
9995
#27
16.53.7
12.816.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.0
End3.3
blue by 11.4
8879
#25
27.91.4
26.527.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned