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Red129
268757.7
772514.0
11865.5
Blue151
384754.0
857638.5
817745.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145142125130135140150155160129151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
65.50.4
66.165.6
Auto15.8
Teleop38.3
End10.2
red by 11.4
54.00.1
52.352.4
Auto11.9
Teleop33.4
End8.5
Second
2687
#12
57.70.4
58.357.9
Auto11.3
Teleop38.7
End7.2
red by 12.8
8177
#33
45.00.1
43.243.3
Auto10.9
Teleop26.5
End6.6
Third
7725
#28
14.00.4
14.614.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.6
End5.6
blue by 24.4
8576
#13
38.50.1
36.736.8
Auto7.8
Teleop22.5
End8.4