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Red118
268929.2
147753.8
680039.4
Blue140
32439.3
288153.0
541448.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127149050100200250300118140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.1
53.353.3
Auto13.4
Teleop33.9
End6.1
red by 0.8
53.00.0
52.252.1
Auto11.3
Teleop31.7
End8.8
Second
6800
#22
39.40.1
38.938.9
Auto8.4
Teleop23.4
End7.9
blue by 8.8
5414
#21
48.20.0
47.347.3
Auto11.7
Teleop28.4
End8.1
Third
2689
#26
29.20.1
28.728.6
Auto7.4
Teleop16.2
End5.7
blue by 10.1
324
#24
39.30.0
38.438.4
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.8