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Red154
582935.9
742136.9
542745.8
Blue107
801938.4
635741.0
463932.7
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124121100110130140150154107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.8
45.346.2
Auto10.7
Teleop24.9
End10.0
red by 4.8
41.00.2
42.642.4
Auto13.1
Teleop21.2
End6.5
Second
7421
#30
36.90.8
36.537.3
Auto6.8
Teleop25.9
End4.1
blue by 1.5
8019
#16
38.40.2
38.638.4
Auto12.2
Teleop17.6
End8.9
Third
35.90.8
35.536.3
Auto11.6
Teleop16.9
End7.5
red by 3.3
4639
#11
32.70.2
34.234.1
Auto8.9
Teleop16.9
End7.2