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Red137
851533.9
373526.4
62468.7
Blue111
258741.8
999723.6
749227.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13790050150200250137111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#3
68.70.3
66.266.5
Auto15.8
Teleop41.8
End9.8
red by 26.8
41.80.4
41.541.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.6
End7.4
Second
8515
#18
33.90.3
31.531.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.0
End4.5
red by 6.8
7492
#31
27.20.4
26.727.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End5.2
Third
3735
#14
26.40.3
24.024.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.7
End6.7
red by 2.8
9997
#20
23.60.6
23.123.7
Auto10.3
Teleop9.7
End3.7