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Red156
268753.6
857328.1
246861.7
Blue113
680052.4
905120.3
258246.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15512480100140180200220240156113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.3
61.161.4
Auto12.1
Teleop39.6
End10.0
red by 9.4
52.40.2
52.752.6
Auto13.5
Teleop30.0
End8.9
Second
53.60.3
53.053.3
Auto10.3
Teleop35.7
End7.7
red by 7.4
46.20.2
46.646.4
Auto11.7
Teleop26.7
End7.8
Third
8573
#22
28.10.3
27.527.8
Auto11.1
Teleop11.0
End6.0
red by 7.8
9051
#43
20.30.2
20.720.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End7.8