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Red113
288143.3
637748.5
905425.0
Blue145
680052.4
905120.3
258246.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251276080100140160180200113145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.2
48.748.5
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End7.4
blue by 3.9
52.40.5
52.352.7
Auto13.5
Teleop30.0
End8.9
Second
43.30.2
43.543.3
Auto10.4
Teleop25.8
End7.2
blue by 2.8
46.20.5
46.146.6
Auto11.7
Teleop26.7
End7.8
Third
9054
#36
25.00.2
25.225.0
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End9.0
red by 4.7
9051
#43
20.30.5
20.220.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End7.8