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Red134
258246.2
905120.3
680052.4
Blue97
557234.9
268935.6
801929.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12910440608012014016018020013497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.4
51.952.3
Auto13.5
Teleop30.0
End8.9
red by 16.8
2689
#11
35.60.2
35.835.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
Second
46.20.4
45.746.1
Auto11.7
Teleop26.7
End7.8
red by 11.3
5572
#19
34.90.2
35.134.9
Auto13.6
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Third
9051
#43
20.30.4
19.820.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End7.8
blue by 9.0
8019
#17
29.30.2
29.529.3
Auto12.2
Teleop10.6
End6.5