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Red191
268753.6
857328.1
246861.7
Blue127
905425.0
637748.5
288143.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152120100200191127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.9
60.261.1
Auto12.1
Teleop39.6
End10.0
red by 13.3
48.50.2
48.548.7
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End7.4
Second
53.60.9
52.153.0
Auto10.3
Teleop35.7
End7.7
red by 10.3
43.30.2
43.343.5
Auto10.4
Teleop25.8
End7.2
Third
8573
#22
28.10.9
26.627.5
Auto11.1
Teleop11.0
End6.0
red by 3.2
9054
#36
25.00.2
24.925.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End9.0