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Red99
296917.2
914034.5
637748.5
Blue121
246861.7
836917.2
582937.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84100406012014016099121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.2
38.539.7
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End7.4
blue by 13.3
61.72.0
51.653.6
Auto12.1
Teleop39.6
End10.0
Second
9140
#25
34.51.2
26.928.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.1
End7.5
blue by 2.7
37.22.0
27.329.3
Auto13.4
Teleop16.5
End7.3
Third
2969
#35
17.22.0
15.417.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.5
red by 0.1
8369
#28
17.22.0
12.714.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned