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Red126
887918.7
557234.9
680052.4
Blue101
125531.7
801929.3
857328.1
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10663204080120140160126101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.41.8
45.447.2
Auto13.5
Teleop30.0
End8.9
red by 20.7
1255
#13
31.72.4
23.726.1
Auto10.6
Teleop13.0
End8.1
Second
5572
#19
34.91.8
29.431.3
Auto13.6
Teleop15.6
End5.6
red by 5.6
8019
#17
29.34.0
21.025.0
Auto12.2
Teleop10.6
End6.5
Third
8879
#32
18.73.0
18.922.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.9
blue by 9.4
8573
#22
28.12.4
20.222.6
Auto11.1
Teleop11.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned