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Red130
288143.3
265720.2
367935.9
Blue62
905425.0
850713.7
762118.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10650015013062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.32.2
41.043.2
Auto10.4
Teleop25.8
End7.2
red by 18.4
9054
#36
25.00.5
23.223.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End9.0
Second
3679
#10
35.92.2
33.135.3
Auto11.9
Teleop15.7
End8.3
red by 17.9
7621
#18
18.00.5
16.517.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.4
End5.5
Third
2657
#39
20.22.9
17.820.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End6.5
red by 6.5
8507
#29
13.70.5
14.114.7
Auto1.5
Teleop6.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed