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Red100
268935.6
572616.6
582937.2
Blue123
258246.2
914034.5
618022.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931066080100120140160100123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.1
35.235.2
Auto13.4
Teleop16.5
End7.3
blue by 9.0
46.21.0
42.343.4
Auto11.7
Teleop26.7
End7.8
Second
2689
#11
35.60.1
36.936.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
red by 1.1
9140
#25
34.51.0
33.434.4
Auto8.9
Teleop18.1
End7.5
Third
5726
#42
16.60.1
17.016.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 5.6
22.21.0
22.123.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned