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Red118
367935.9
713815.8
680052.4
Blue72
861017.8
801929.3
288143.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099740608012014016018011872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.8
50.351.1
Auto13.5
Teleop30.0
End8.9
red by 9.0
43.31.7
43.241.5
Auto10.4
Teleop25.8
End7.2
Second
3679
#10
35.90.8
35.336.1
Auto11.9
Teleop15.7
End8.3
red by 6.5
8019
#17
29.32.1
30.027.9
Auto12.2
Teleop10.6
End6.5
Third
7138
#33
15.80.8
15.115.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.6
blue by 2.0
8610
#34
17.81.7
19.417.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed