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Red50
265720.2
618022.2
881919.8
Blue82
914034.5
887918.7
857328.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66864060801001201405082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.9
23.222.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End8.9
blue by 12.3
9140
#25
34.50.3
34.434.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.1
End7.5
Second
2657
#39
20.21.2
20.819.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End6.5
blue by 7.9
8573
#22
28.10.3
24.825.1
Auto11.1
Teleop11.0
End6.0
Third
8819
#26
19.81.2
20.319.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End5.5
red by 1.1
8879
#32
18.70.3
18.919.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsEarned