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Red69
637743.7
910534.9
541436.9
Blue55
99922.7
331051.4
521214.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153710501002002506955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.74.2
48.344.1
Auto12.5
Teleop22.9
End7.9
blue by 7.6
51.41.7
54.853.1
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End7.7
Second
5414
#15
36.94.2
43.239.0
Auto11.4
Teleop18.8
End6.8
red by 22.4
5212
#22
14.51.7
17.816.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End4.7
Third
9105
#18
34.94.2
40.636.4
Auto11.6
Teleop17.8
End4.8
red by 32.2
9992
#24
2.72.9
8.05.2
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed