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Red56
680031.5
887420.1
61716.6
Blue74
636933.8
999118.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716002003004005006007008005674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#11
31.50.9
32.731.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End7.2
blue by 2.3
6369
#16
33.80.6
34.835.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.2
End7.7
Second
8874
#12
20.10.9
22.521.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End7.1
red by 1.8
9991
#14
18.30.9
14.115.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.2
Third
6171
#23
6.60.9
9.08.1
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End3.7
blue by 0.4
7.00.9
6.77.6
Auto3.8
Teleop0.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsEarned