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Red78
637743.7
680031.5
Blue51
910534.9
99922.7
887420.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94600501507851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.4
44.143.7
Auto12.5
Teleop22.9
End7.9
red by 8.8
9105
#18
34.91.5
36.434.9
Auto11.6
Teleop17.8
End4.8
Second
6800
#11
31.50.4
31.831.5
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End7.2
red by 11.3
8874
#12
20.11.5
21.620.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Third
7.00.6
7.67.0
Auto3.8
Teleop0.2
End3.1
red by 4.3
9992
#24
2.72.5
5.22.7
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed