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Red86
887917.6
288138.4
331051.4
Blue36
521214.5
61716.6
636933.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1325401001502002503008636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.41.8
53.151.4
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End7.7
red by 17.6
6369
#16
33.81.6
35.333.8
Auto9.9
Teleop16.2
End7.7
Second
38.41.8
40.138.4
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End7.3
red by 23.8
5212
#22
14.51.6
16.114.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End4.7
Third
8879
#20
17.61.8
19.317.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.2
End5.6
red by 11.0
6171
#23
6.61.6
8.16.6
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed