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Red61
271445.0
419215.9
129632.7
Blue76
541144.6
541436.9
258319.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10611702003004005006006176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.02.7
47.745.0
Auto13.4
Teleop22.9
End7.8
red by 0.4
44.62.1
46.744.6
Auto11.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
Second
32.72.7
35.432.7
Auto12.0
Teleop14.6
End6.2
blue by 4.3
5414
#15
36.92.1
39.036.9
Auto11.4
Teleop18.8
End6.8
Third
4192
#21
15.92.7
18.615.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End4.0
blue by 3.2
2583
#19
19.12.1
21.219.1
Auto6.4
Teleop7.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned