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Red76
6377B22.7
999118.3
9492B10.2
Blue99
543133.7
174542.5
557227.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612501001502002503003507699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.73.3
19.422.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End5.8
blue by 19.8
1745
#13
42.50.4
42.942.5
Auto9.0
Teleop25.7
End7.5
Second
9991
#14
18.33.3
15.018.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.2
blue by 15.4
33.70.4
34.133.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.6
End7.0
Third
10.23.3
6.910.2
Auto5.2
Teleop0.4
End4.8
blue by 17.4
27.60.4
28.027.6
Auto10.7
Teleop11.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed50%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned