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Red68
215830.8
471715.3
754023.7
Blue69
473420.0
855619.1
62439.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6263203040507080901006869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#26
30.81.0
29.930.9
Auto8.3
Teleop16.5
End6.0
blue by 8.5
624
#7
39.30.7
30.631.3
Auto12.4
Teleop17.6
End9.4
Second
7540
#15
23.71.0
15.917.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End8.7
red by 3.7
4734
#22
20.00.7
15.716.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End6.0
Third
4717
#40
15.31.0
12.813.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End6.2
blue by 3.8
19.10.7
11.712.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned