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Red65
374312.7
429516.1
147748.5
Blue95
288132.9
303527.1
271431.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64690501001506595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.5
32.332.8
Auto12.6
Teleop26.9
End8.9
red by 15.6
2881
#12
32.91.5
23.324.8
Auto11.0
Teleop14.0
End8.0
Second
4295
#17
16.10.5
14.414.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End7.0
blue by 15.0
2714
#11
31.21.5
20.121.6
Auto11.3
Teleop13.7
End6.1
Third
3743
#37
12.70.5
13.814.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End5.2
blue by 14.4
27.11.5
21.022.5
Auto8.7
Teleop12.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsEarned