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Red68
324517.0
789523.7
337430.1
Blue74
817422.7
455036.2
458517.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565102040801006874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.7
24.224.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End7.2
blue by 6.2
36.22.3
19.121.5
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.9
Second
7895
#28
23.70.7
14.415.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End7.9
red by 0.9
8174
#29
22.72.3
13.215.5
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End6.9
Third
3245
#44
17.00.7
13.314.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End4.6
blue by 0.3
4585
#10
17.22.3
15.818.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsEarned