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Red40
297219.8
904417.1
913819.9
Blue44
507119.6
70113.5
299626.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466902060801001201404044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9138
#22
19.90.7
16.415.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End8.3
blue by 6.2
2996
#14
26.12.0
21.619.6
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End5.6
Second
2972
#24
19.80.7
15.915.3
Auto7.6
Teleop4.6
End7.6
red by 0.2
5071
#37
19.62.0
18.416.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End5.1
Third
9044
#41
17.10.7
13.713.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End7.1
red by 3.6
701
#13
13.52.0
21.719.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed