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Red25
888516.8
182816.3
299317.6
Blue89
324320.5
299626.1
156924.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5558203040507080902589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2993
#34
17.63.0
17.714.7
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End5.2
blue by 8.5
2996
#14
26.12.5
19.622.2
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End5.6
Second
8885
#38
16.83.0
18.015.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End5.1
blue by 7.8
1569
#23
24.62.5
20.823.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End9.4
Third
1828
#40
16.33.0
16.113.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End6.4
blue by 4.2
3243
#35
20.52.5
13.716.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsEarned