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Red45
593324.9
790617.2
635814.6
Blue51
434815.3
913819.9
133218.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564802040801001204551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5933
#30
24.90.7
21.520.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End6.9
red by 5.1
9138
#22
19.90.5
15.715.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End8.3
Second
7906
#42
17.20.7
16.415.7
Auto1.6
Teleop8.4
End7.3
blue by 1.2
1332
#11
18.40.5
17.416.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End5.3
Third
6358
#33
14.60.7
13.813.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End5.9
blue by 0.7
4348
#36
15.30.5
12.612.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed13%Activation oddsEarned