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Red142
913819.9
449955.0
224046.8
Blue73
406833.4
337430.1
417524.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13988608010012016018020014273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.00.3
56.156.4
Auto16.6
Teleop30.3
End8.0
red by 21.6
33.40.4
33.933.5
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End6.6
Second
46.80.3
47.848.1
Auto10.6
Teleop28.5
End7.6
red by 16.7
30.10.4
30.530.1
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End7.2
Third
9138
#22
19.90.3
20.921.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End8.3
blue by 4.7
4175
#17
24.60.4
25.024.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.5
End4.2