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Red93
212235.2
455036.2
593324.9
Blue101
19229.9
585133.0
903717.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077820406010012014016093101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.2
36.236.0
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.9
red by 3.3
33.00.4
31.732.2
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End8.3
Second
35.20.2
35.134.9
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 5.3
192
#8
29.90.4
28.729.1
Auto13.1
Teleop11.7
End5.2
Third
5933
#30
24.90.2
24.924.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End6.9
red by 7.4
9037
#32
17.50.4
16.316.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End6.9