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Red91
61223.5
409939.1
62332.9
Blue86
11624.0
218621.9
337329.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11076501001502009186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#13
39.10.5
40.139.6
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End8.4
red by 9.2
3373
#11
29.90.0
29.729.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End11.8
Second
623
#3
32.90.5
33.933.4
Auto12.2
Teleop10.9
End9.8
red by 8.9
116
#28
24.00.0
23.923.9
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End4.9
Third
612
#18
23.50.5
24.624.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 1.6
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto9.5
Teleop5.5
End6.9