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Red89
374813.2
68636.8
447235.0
Blue69
511529.4
823031.8
872619.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87876070801001101208969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#4
36.80.2
35.735.9
Auto12.2
Teleop15.9
End8.7
red by 5.0
31.80.4
31.931.5
Auto14.7
Teleop10.3
End6.8
Second
35.00.2
34.034.2
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.6
red by 5.7
5115
#22
29.40.4
29.929.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End7.9
Third
3748
#34
13.20.2
12.212.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.4
End3.2
blue by 6.2
8726
#26
19.40.4
19.419.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End5.1