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Red80
171919.1
650420.3
188519.1
Blue77
903321.3
777025.2
138930.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5786020401001201408077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6504
#14
20.30.3
19.820.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End4.9
blue by 10.4
1389
#10
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.6
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Second
1885
#15
19.10.3
18.719.0
Auto7.6
Teleop6.2
End5.4
blue by 6.1
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End5.2
Third
1719
#16
19.10.3
18.618.9
Auto9.8
Teleop6.3
End3.1
blue by 2.2
9033
#19
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End5.3