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Red149
242123.7
172754.0
859250.5
Blue70
141824.2
62025.0
454127.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1406705010020014970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.00.5
52.252.7
Auto12.3
Teleop33.5
End8.1
red by 26.8
4541
#12
27.20.2
25.725.6
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End6.9
Second
50.50.5
48.749.2
Auto13.5
Teleop28.7
End8.2
red by 25.6
620
#6
25.00.2
23.523.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End8.9
Third
2421
#20
23.70.5
21.922.4
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End8.6
blue by 0.5
1418
#30
24.20.2
22.822.6
Auto12.7
Teleop7.9
End3.7