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Red93
61223.5
409939.1
62332.9
Blue101
447235.0
68636.8
374813.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106855015093101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#13
39.10.1
39.639.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End8.4
red by 2.3
686
#4
36.80.2
35.936.1
Auto12.2
Teleop15.9
End8.7
Second
623
#3
32.90.1
33.433.3
Auto12.2
Teleop10.9
End9.8
blue by 2.1
35.00.2
34.234.3
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.6
Third
612
#18
23.50.1
24.124.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 10.3
3748
#34
13.20.2
12.312.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.4
End3.2