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Red110
40142.1
923518.9
572427.4
Blue111
40421.5
173134.5
336116.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6464708090110110111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#3
42.15.0
28.833.8
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.0
red by 7.6
34.52.7
31.734.4
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End5.1
Second
27.45.0
18.923.9
Auto9.7
Teleop10.2
End7.5
red by 5.9
404
#21
21.52.7
15.418.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End5.3
Third
9235
#24
18.95.0
12.417.4
Auto7.5
Teleop5.2
End6.2
red by 2.9
3361
#32
16.12.7
13.015.7
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed