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Red48
12225.7
650420.7
313631.3
Blue64
859226.9
680232.4
445627.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069505560657580854864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.32.0
22.120.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End7.0
blue by 1.1
32.40.1
23.523.4
Auto13.1
Teleop13.1
End6.3
Second
122
#10
25.72.0
22.921.0
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End7.7
blue by 1.4
4456
#14
27.10.1
23.223.1
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End5.8
Third
6504
#28
20.72.0
20.618.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.2
End3.1
blue by 6.1
8592
#17
26.90.1
18.418.2
Auto9.2
Teleop11.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed