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Red74
34629.6
393923.5
619424.2
Blue79
923518.9
313631.3
62327.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6162556570757479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
29.61.9
17.419.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End6.9
blue by 1.7
31.32.3
24.526.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End7.0
Second
6194
#23
24.21.9
21.423.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End6.9
blue by 2.9
623
#7
27.12.3
20.022.4
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End8.4
Third
3939
#20
23.51.9
18.420.3
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End3.7
red by 4.5
9235
#24
18.92.3
13.315.6
Auto7.5
Teleop5.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned