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Red89
572427.4
650420.7
162936.4
Blue88
12225.7
61918.7
823027.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765920401001208988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.42.2
27.930.1
Auto9.3
Teleop20.5
End6.6
red by 8.7
8230
#11
27.81.5
20.021.5
Auto10.5
Teleop9.8
End7.4
Second
27.42.2
21.323.5
Auto9.7
Teleop10.2
End7.5
red by 1.7
122
#10
25.71.5
22.924.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End7.7
Third
6504
#28
20.72.2
20.022.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.2
End3.1
red by 2.0
619
#18
18.71.5
14.516.0
Auto6.2
Teleop6.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned