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Red126
40142.1
236355.2
191513.1
Blue57
126215.4
445627.1
619424.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126665010015012657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.3
55.255.5
Auto13.5
Teleop33.3
End8.3
red by 28.0
4456
#14
27.10.4
27.927.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End5.8
Second
401
#3
42.10.3
42.142.4
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.0
red by 17.9
6194
#23
24.20.5
25.024.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.7
End6.9
Third
1915
#27
13.10.4
13.313.7
Auto5.1
Teleop2.6
End5.5
blue by 2.3
1262
#16
15.40.4
16.215.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End4.5