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Red84
202818.2
210630.7
62327.1
Blue130
42234.0
393923.5
572427.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7988406010012014084130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#13
30.70.1
30.430.5
Auto9.9
Teleop14.8
End6.0
blue by 3.3
422
#12
34.00.7
32.933.7
Auto11.1
Teleop17.2
End5.7
Second
623
#7
27.10.1
26.826.9
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End8.4
blue by 0.4
27.40.8
26.227.1
Auto9.7
Teleop10.2
End7.5
Third
2028
#22
18.20.1
18.018.0
Auto7.3
Teleop7.7
End3.3
blue by 5.2
3939
#20
23.50.7
22.423.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End3.7