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Red53
12225.7
823027.8
61918.7
Blue58
313631.3
680232.4
188516.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778740601001201405358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8230
#11
27.80.5
28.327.8
Auto10.5
Teleop9.8
End7.4
blue by 4.6
32.40.5
32.632.1
Auto13.1
Teleop13.1
End6.3
Second
122
#10
25.70.5
26.225.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End7.7
blue by 5.6
31.30.5
31.531.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End7.0
Third
619
#18
18.70.5
19.218.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.9
End5.6
red by 2.6
1885
#31
16.10.5
16.315.8
Auto7.5
Teleop3.6
End5.0