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Red95
191513.1
40142.1
236355.2
Blue106
42234.0
393923.5
572427.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125845010015095106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.5
55.555.1
Auto13.5
Teleop33.3
End8.3
red by 21.2
422
#12
34.00.4
33.734.1
Auto11.1
Teleop17.2
End5.7
Second
401
#3
42.10.5
42.441.9
Auto13.2
Teleop24.8
End4.0
red by 14.7
27.40.4
27.127.5
Auto9.7
Teleop10.2
End7.5
Third
1915
#27
13.10.5
13.713.1
Auto5.1
Teleop2.6
End5.5
blue by 10.3
3939
#20
23.50.4
23.123.5
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End3.7