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Red120
40144.2
572442.2
999912.1
Blue94
680235.2
159941.7
99965.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107925015012094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#5
44.20.6
43.343.8
Auto12.7
Teleop27.0
End3.6
red by 2.4
41.70.3
41.241.5
Auto13.9
Teleop18.7
End8.6
Second
42.20.6
41.341.8
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End8.2
red by 7.0
35.20.3
34.634.9
Auto14.5
Teleop14.1
End6.5
Third
9999
#17
12.10.9
10.711.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End3.1
red by 6.8
9996
#18
5.30.5
4.44.9
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End3.7