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Red123
40144.2
572442.2
999912.1
Blue99
680235.2
159941.7
99965.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099205015020012399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#5
44.20.4
43.844.2
Auto12.7
Teleop27.0
End3.6
red by 2.4
41.70.3
41.541.7
Auto13.9
Teleop18.7
End8.6
Second
42.20.4
41.842.2
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End8.2
red by 7.0
35.20.3
34.935.2
Auto14.5
Teleop14.1
End6.5
Third
9999
#17
12.10.5
11.612.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End3.1
red by 6.8
9996
#18
5.30.4
4.95.3
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End3.7