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Red52
99938.5
99716.8
393931.1
Blue49
999710.3
99767.2
999820.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484925303540455560655249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.4
31.130.8
Auto7.9
Teleop17.7
End5.4
red by 10.4
20.70.5
18.417.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Second
9993
#11
8.50.6
16.515.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 1.9
9997
#12
10.30.5
15.915.4
Auto0.9
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Third
9971
#27DQ
6.80.6
9.99.3
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.7
End3.5
blue by 0.4
9976
#20DQ
7.20.5
19.118.6
Auto5.6
Teleop-0.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsMissed