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Red32
999912.1
99716.8
99957.5
Blue42
40144.2
99767.2
99926.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221000501502003242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
#17
12.10.2
14.013.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End3.1
blue by 32.0
401
#5
44.22.9
52.749.7
Auto12.7
Teleop27.0
End3.6
Second
9995
#16
7.50.2
10.610.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End2.0
red by 0.3
9976
#20DQ
7.24.8
18.613.7
Auto5.6
Teleop-0.4
End2.6
Third
9971
#27DQ
6.80.2
9.39.1
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.7
End3.5
red by 0.3
9992
#15
6.54.8
14.49.5
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsMissed