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Red49
99918.7
99716.8
680235.2
Blue94
572442.2
99767.2
126214.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667402040801001201404994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.1
42.241.1
Auto14.5
Teleop14.1
End6.5
blue by 7.0
42.21.2
40.541.7
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End8.2
Second
9991
#13
8.71.8
14.212.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End3.5
blue by 6.1
1262
#10
14.81.2
17.018.2
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Third
9971
#27DQ
6.81.7
9.17.4
Auto4.2
Teleop-0.7
End3.5
blue by 0.4
9976
#20DQ
7.22.0
13.715.7
Auto5.6
Teleop-0.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsEarned