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Red44
97725.7
997211.8
999710.3
Blue75
264018.6
99767.2
159941.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787740506070901001104475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#6
25.71.3
27.626.3
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End7.8
blue by 16.0
41.71.1
43.642.5
Auto13.9
Teleop18.7
End8.6
Second
9972
#21DQ
11.82.1
19.917.8
Auto1.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 6.8
2640
#14
18.61.1
20.819.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Third
9997
#12
10.32.1
15.413.3
Auto0.9
Teleop4.4
End5.1
red by 3.2
9976
#20DQ
7.21.8
14.612.8
Auto5.6
Teleop-0.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned