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Red34
999820.7
997211.8
99926.5
Blue66
680235.2
99767.2
40144.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281210501001502002503466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.2
17.916.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End3.4
blue by 23.5
401
#5
44.22.5
49.747.2
Auto12.7
Teleop27.0
End3.6
Second
9972
#21DQ
11.81.2
17.816.5
Auto1.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
blue by 23.4
35.22.5
41.138.6
Auto14.5
Teleop14.1
End6.5
Third
9992
#15
6.51.2
9.58.3
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End0.9
blue by 0.7
9976
#20DQ
7.24.2
12.88.6
Auto5.6
Teleop-0.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned