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Red57
680235.2
997314.5
99938.5
Blue49
264018.6
997821.5
99957.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625202040801001201405749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.8
37.136.3
Auto14.5
Teleop14.1
End6.5
red by 13.7
9978
#25DQ
21.50.4
20.420.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Second
9973
#24DQ
14.51.3
17.215.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End3.9
blue by 4.1
2640
#14
18.60.2
18.218.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Third
9993
#11
8.51.3
9.68.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End2.6
red by 1.0
9995
#16
7.50.4
6.97.3
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned18%Activation oddsEarned